Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.315439 3.664241 4.042250 4.483685 4.986713 5.544022 6.210871
2025-08-24 2.771344 3.228930 3.758814 4.422618 5.238723 6.218126 7.495846
2025-08-31 2.442257 2.954855 3.577571 4.399297 5.469504 6.836430 8.748011
2025-09-07 2.267580 2.830316 3.541795 4.523048 5.866479 7.679746 10.380784
2025-09-14 2.077659 2.658406 3.416577 4.500562 6.047397 8.234857 11.676023
2025-09-21 1.915486 2.503276 3.292033 4.455595 6.177717 8.716955 12.915771
2025-09-28 1.731071 2.300228 3.080781 4.261421 6.061232 8.807609 13.542119
2025-10-05 1.642910 2.222165 3.035308 4.299025 6.288835 9.442883 15.141823
2025-10-12 1.577306 2.169743 3.020139 4.376792 6.581552 10.210551 17.085920
2025-10-19 1.517543 2.120409 3.003911 4.448457 6.867632 10.996710 19.191405
2025-10-26 1.461032 2.071194 2.982804 4.508094 7.136302 11.781319 21.428107
2025-11-02 1.402571 2.014607 2.945239 4.535743 7.349787 12.488964 23.635344
2025-11-09 1.310480 1.902304 2.815061 4.402135 7.271659 12.656416 24.769475
2025-11-16 1.241439 1.821964 2.730639 4.339473 7.315866 13.065712 26.522134
2025-11-23 1.186401 1.760355 2.672151 4.316235 7.429632 13.626256 28.739285
2025-11-30 1.163376 1.748469 2.694294 4.437002 7.830511 14.832869 32.800853
2025-12-07 1.115998 1.693908 2.640784 4.415035 7.946504 15.445569 35.494571
2025-12-14 1.068430 1.636362 2.578406 4.371125 8.012513 15.955287 38.034720
2025-12-21 0.999926 1.540420 2.444163 4.181495 7.757849 15.698932 38.359289
2025-12-28 0.972905 1.513233 2.428684 4.218223 7.984858 16.602136 42.311309
2026-01-04 0.953599 1.498091 2.433383 4.294172 8.304184 17.776887 47.443837
2026-01-11 0.934396 1.482021 2.435214 4.364155 8.617633 18.987823 53.086841
2026-01-18 0.914502 1.463647 2.431563 4.422387 8.910529 20.194568 59.134257